Preseason Rankings
Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#192
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.9#170
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#191
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#220
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.1% 23.3% 14.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 62.5% 79.5% 54.3%
.500 or above in Conference 79.7% 88.0% 75.7%
Conference Champion 21.7% 29.6% 17.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 0.6% 2.5%
First Four2.6% 2.1% 2.9%
First Round16.0% 22.5% 12.8%
Second Round1.0% 1.8% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seattle (Away) - 32.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 9
Quad 414 - 517 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 168   @ Seattle L 69-74 33%    
  Nov 13, 2019 141   @ Saint Louis L 65-71 29%    
  Nov 20, 2019 101   @ Boston College L 67-76 21%    
  Nov 23, 2019 308   @ High Point W 68-65 62%    
  Nov 26, 2019 80   Belmont L 75-81 30%    
  Dec 04, 2019 44   @ Washington L 62-77 9%    
  Dec 08, 2019 262   North Dakota W 77-71 71%    
  Dec 17, 2019 195   Nebraska Omaha W 77-74 61%    
  Dec 21, 2019 8   @ Gonzaga L 66-88 3%    
  Dec 28, 2019 191   @ Weber St. L 76-79 40%    
  Dec 30, 2019 335   @ Idaho St. W 77-70 71%    
  Jan 04, 2020 270   Portland St. W 79-72 73%    
  Jan 09, 2020 198   Montana W 73-70 61%    
  Jan 16, 2020 338   @ Idaho W 73-66 73%    
  Jan 18, 2020 279   @ Montana St. W 79-77 55%    
  Jan 25, 2020 226   Southern Utah W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 27, 2020 214   Northern Colorado W 72-68 62%    
  Feb 01, 2020 280   @ Sacramento St. W 72-70 55%    
  Feb 03, 2020 278   @ Northern Arizona W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 06, 2020 198   @ Montana L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 08, 2020 279   Montana St. W 82-74 73%    
  Feb 13, 2020 338   Idaho W 76-63 87%    
  Feb 15, 2020 270   @ Portland St. W 76-75 54%    
  Feb 20, 2020 280   Sacramento St. W 75-67 74%    
  Feb 22, 2020 278   Northern Arizona W 79-71 73%    
  Feb 27, 2020 226   @ Southern Utah L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 29, 2020 214   @ Northern Colorado L 69-71 42%    
  Mar 05, 2020 335   Idaho St. W 80-67 85%    
  Mar 07, 2020 191   Weber St. W 79-76 59%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.3 5.5 5.4 3.5 1.9 0.5 21.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.6 5.0 4.9 2.7 0.8 0.1 16.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.0 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 13.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.7 2.6 0.5 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.5 1.7 0.2 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.6 1.1 0.1 6.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.1 0.9 0.1 5.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 3.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.2 3.5 5.1 6.6 8.4 9.8 10.5 10.7 10.5 9.3 8.3 6.2 3.6 1.9 0.5 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
19-1 100.0% 1.9    1.8 0.0
18-2 96.6% 3.5    3.2 0.2
17-3 86.4% 5.4    4.3 1.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 66.4% 5.5    3.6 1.6 0.2 0.0
15-5 35.7% 3.3    1.3 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0
14-6 13.5% 1.4    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 21.7% 21.7 15.2 5.0 1.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.5% 59.0% 55.7% 3.3% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.4%
19-1 1.9% 52.5% 51.6% 0.8% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 1.7%
18-2 3.6% 48.4% 48.3% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.8 0.0%
17-3 6.2% 40.6% 40.6% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.1 3.7 0.0%
16-4 8.3% 34.7% 34.7% 14.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.3 5.4
15-5 9.3% 24.5% 24.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.6 7.1
14-6 10.5% 21.1% 21.1% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.0 8.3
13-7 10.7% 15.0% 15.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 9.1
12-8 10.5% 10.1% 10.1% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 9.5
11-9 9.8% 7.6% 7.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 9.0
10-10 8.4% 4.6% 4.6% 15.9 0.0 0.4 8.0
9-11 6.6% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.3 6.4
8-12 5.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 5.0
7-13 3.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 3.5
6-14 2.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 2.2
5-15 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.5
4-16 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 17.1% 17.1% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 4.0 5.0 5.4 82.9 0.0%